Month: August 2024

Curios Case of Suzlon Energy

Suzlon is one of the leading global renewable energy solutions providers. It is a vertically integrated Wind turbine manufacturers. It also undertakes installation and Operation &Maintenance (O&M) of all Wind turbine sales. Operations include design development and manufacturing of all major components, including rotor blades, tubular towers, generators, control equipment, gears and nacelles. Apart from manufacturing, it offers a full gamut of wind project planning and execution services, including wind resource assessment, infrastructure and power evacuation, technical planning and execution of wind power projects. It also offers O&M services in India and overseas countries.

It is one of most public owned (in terms of % owned by general shareholders) and discussed stock in India.

Its revival is one of most interesting financial case studies, the company was struggling to pay its due for long time is not a hidden fact ,

In 2020 it went for it’s first recent debt restructuring

I have simplified in below table how the company went about it

Type Debt (INR Cr) % Total Treatment
Part A 5188 37.76% Rate Reduced, Term Extended
Part B 4,100.00 29.84% Convert to Equity (optional)
Part C 4453 32.41% Convert to Equity (Confirmed)

Below is proposal’s extract from their … Read the rest

How to avoid cost price bias?

this blog is alive

The focus would be active Indian investing here, while substack would continue to focus on passive Indian and any global investing

I am tracking my investments using google spreadsheet, sample below

there is an issue with this.

it anchors me to price paid for the stock and I ignored if the stock is doing well or not relatively. The cost price bias has given me a false sense of comfort it promotes Endowment effect, I lose objectivity in analysis.

I posted this on twitter on BAJAJ Finserv

 

As an existing holder like me who is holding the stock from lower levels, because of way I track portfolio (cost price driven), I will miss that the stock has done nothing for last 3+ years

This approach misses the

  • huge relative underperformance even against index, let alone other stocks
  • opportunity cost of not deploying capital effectively

So I think we should listen to William O Neil and not track portfolios like this, here is what he wrote in his book

 

“To help you avoid the price-paid bias, particularly if you are a longer-term investor, I suggest you use a different method of analyzing your results. At

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